Macro Intelligence · Yearly board

2010

Yearly aggregate · 51 week regimes · drill into children for finer reads

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Yearly

2010 — 51 weeks across 4 quarters

Dashboard from the materialized period object + the de-blended store. Actuals are deterministic; synthesis (below) is narrated for the current period only.

Headline — where each bloc stands

Regime scatters — connected over time · connected scatter / Gapminder

Per bloc: the path over recent periods; filled dot = this period, arrow from the prior. First is the growth×inflation map with named, shaded quadrants.

Animated regime map — growth × inflation over time · Gapminder motion

Indicators — pick a metric, compare blocs · recession shading + crosshair

One pane; switch the metric, all blocs overlaid on a comparable basis (GDP shown YoY for every bloc). Grey bands = US GDP-contraction quarters. Hover for a readout.

Per-region breakdown — 2010 vs 2009, with trend

Change views — table-lens & slope · Datawrapper

A Table-lens — color = change · sparkline = trend · text = dated value
B Slope — prior → now per bloc, one panel per metric

Whole-board snapshot — parallel coordinates · parallel coordinates

Each bloc crosses all metric axes (min–max normalized across blocs for 2010).

Audit trail — detail tables
📊 Data verdicts · 51 week(s) in period · deterministic, no narration

Standing regime — start → end, per bloc

United States
expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation
W02: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation · W05: goldilocks / reflation → expansion, at target · W22: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation · W24: goldilocks / reflation → expansion, at target · W28: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation · W48: goldilocks / reflation → expansion, at target · W50: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation
China
expansion, at target → overheating / late-cycle
W09: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation · W13: goldilocks / reflation → expansion, at target · W17: expansion, at target → overheating / late-cycle
Euro area
disinflationary stall → expansion, at target
W03: disinflationary stall → goldilocks / reflation · W13: goldilocks / reflation → expansion, at target
Japan
deflation watch · held all period

Mechanisms fired across the period

United States
  • M5 ×25 growth_acceleration
  • M1 ×3 inflation_surprise_up
  • M9 ×2 yield_spike
China
  • M5 ×26 growth_acceleration
Euro area
  • M5 ×22 growth_acceleration
  • M9 ×16 yield_spike
Japan
  • M2 ×8 inflation_surprise_down
  • M9 ×4 yield_spike
  • M1 ×4 inflation_surprise_up

Net indicator moves (first refreshed value → last)

United States
  • core_cpi: -0.11 → 0.10 +0.21 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-15)
  • core_pce: 1.69 → 1.06 -0.63 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)
  • cpi_yoy: 2.62 → 1.10 -1.52 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-15)
  • gdp: 1.90 → 2.60 +0.70 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-22)
  • pmi_mfg: 55.90 → 56.60 +0.70 (2010-01-04 → 2010-12-01)
  • pmi_svc: 50.10 → 55.00 +4.90 (2010-01-06 → 2010-12-03)
  • policy_rate: 0.25 → 0.25 0.00 (2010-01-10 → 2010-12-26)
  • slope_2s10s: 2.87 → 2.74 -0.13 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-23)
  • unemployment: 10.00 → 9.80 -0.20 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-03)
  • yield_10y: 3.83 → 3.41 -0.42 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-23)
  • yield_2y: 0.96 → 0.67 -0.29 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-23)
China
  • cpi_yoy: 1.90 → 5.10 +3.20 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-11)
  • pmi_mfg: 55.80 → 53.90 -1.90 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)
  • pmi_svc: 58.80 → 58.90 +0.10 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)
  • slope_2s10s: 1.65 → 0.50 -1.15 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-24)
  • yield_10y: 3.66 → 3.81 +0.15 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-24)
  • yield_2y: 2.01 → 3.31 +1.30 (2010-01-08 → 2010-12-24)
Euro area
  • cpi_yoy: 0.90 → 1.90 +1.00 (2010-01-05 → 2010-12-16)
  • gdp: 0.30 → 0.10 -0.20 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)
  • pmi_mfg: 51.60 → 56.80 +5.20 (2010-01-04 → 2010-12-16)
  • pmi_svc: 53.60 → 53.70 +0.10 (2010-01-06 → 2010-12-16)
  • policy_rate: 1.00 → 1.00 0.00 (2009-12-03 → 2010-12-02)
  • unemployment: 10.00 → 10.10 +0.10 (2010-01-08 → 2010-11-30)
  • yield_10y: 4.10 → 4.05 -0.05 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)
Japan
  • core_cpi: -1.00 → -0.90 +0.10 (2009-12-26 → 2010-12-26)
  • cpi_yoy: -1.90 → 0.10 +2.00 (2009-12-26 → 2010-12-26)
  • policy_rate: 0.10 → 0.10 0.00 (2009-12-18 → 2010-12-21)
  • unemployment: 5.20 → 5.10 -0.10 (2009-12-30 → 2010-11-29)
  • yield_10y: 1.31 → 1.13 -0.17 (2010-01-01 → 2010-12-01)

Busiest week: 2010-W45 (6 active mechanisms) · Quietest: 2010-W25 (0 active)

Synthesis

(historical period — no Claude narration run)

Decompose

2010-Q1
quarterly board
2010-Q2
quarterly board
2010-Q3
quarterly board
2010-Q4
quarterly board