Macro Intelligence · Quarterly board

2010-Q3

Quarterly aggregate · 13 week regimes · drill into children for finer reads

Quarterly

2010-Q3 — 13 weeks across 3 months

Dashboard from the materialized period object + the de-blended store. Actuals are deterministic; synthesis (below) is narrated for the current period only.

Headline — where each bloc stands

Regime scatters — connected over time · connected scatter / Gapminder

Per bloc: the path over recent periods; filled dot = this period, arrow from the prior. First is the growth×inflation map with named, shaded quadrants.

Animated regime map — growth × inflation over time · Gapminder motion

Indicators — pick a metric, compare blocs · recession shading + crosshair

One pane; switch the metric, all blocs overlaid on a comparable basis (GDP shown YoY for every bloc). Grey bands = US GDP-contraction quarters. Hover for a readout.

Per-region breakdown — 2010-Q3 vs 2010-Q2, with trend

Change views — table-lens & slope · Datawrapper

A Table-lens — color = change · sparkline = trend · text = dated value

B Slope — prior → now per bloc, one panel per metric

Whole-board snapshot — parallel coordinates · parallel coordinates

Each bloc crosses all metric axes (min–max normalized across blocs for 2010-Q3).

Audit trail — detail tables

📊 Data verdicts · 13 week(s) in period · deterministic, no narration

Standing regime — start → end, per bloc

United States

expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation

W28: expansion, at target → goldilocks / reflation

China

overheating / late-cycle · held all period

Euro area

expansion, at target · held all period

Japan

deflation watch · held all period

Mechanisms fired across the period

United States

M5 ×4 growth_acceleration
M9 ×1 yield_spike

China

M5 ×9 growth_acceleration

Euro area

M5 ×2 growth_acceleration

Japan

no fires

Net indicator moves (first refreshed value → last)

United States

core_cpi: 0.08 → 0.00 -0.08 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-17)
core_pce: 1.47 → 1.30 -0.17 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
cpi_yoy: 1.34 → 1.10 -0.24 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-14)
gdp: 3.10 → 1.60 -1.50 (2010-07-01 → 2010-08-27)
pmi_mfg: 56.20 → 56.30 +0.10 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
pmi_svc: 55.40 → 51.50 -3.90 (2010-06-03 → 2010-09-03)
policy_rate: 0.25 → 0.25 0.00 (2010-07-04 → 2010-09-26)
slope_2s10s: 2.37 → 2.17 -0.20 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-24)
unemployment: 9.50 → 9.60 +0.10 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-03)
yield_10y: 3.00 → 2.62 -0.38 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-24)
yield_2y: 0.63 → 0.45 -0.18 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-24)

China

cpi_yoy: 2.90 → 3.50 +0.60 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
pmi_mfg: 51.20 → 53.80 +2.60 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
pmi_svc: 58.80 → 58.00 -0.80 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
slope_2s10s: 1.00 → 1.17 +0.17 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-26)
yield_10y: 3.27 → 3.34 +0.08 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-26)
yield_2y: 2.26 → 2.17 -0.09 (2010-07-02 → 2010-09-26)

Euro area

cpi_yoy: 1.40 → 1.60 +0.20 (2010-06-30 → 2010-09-15)
gdp: 0.00 → 0.20 +0.20 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)
pmi_mfg: 55.60 → 53.60 -2.00 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-23)
pmi_svc: 55.40 → 53.60 -1.80 (2010-06-23 → 2010-09-23)
policy_rate: 1.00 → 1.00 0.00 (2010-06-10 → 2010-09-02)
unemployment: 10.00 → 10.00 0.00 (2010-07-02 → 2010-08-31)
yield_10y: 3.61 → 3.49 -0.12 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)

Japan

core_cpi: -1.60 → -1.50 +0.10 (2010-06-25 → 2010-09-25)
cpi_yoy: -0.90 → -0.90 0.00 (2010-06-25 → 2010-09-25)
policy_rate: 0.10 → 0.10 0.00 (2010-06-15 → 2010-09-07)
unemployment: 5.10 → 5.00 -0.10 (2010-06-29 → 2010-08-29)
yield_10y: 1.07 → 0.90 -0.18 (2010-07-01 → 2010-09-01)

Busiest week: 2010-W30 (2 active mechanisms) · Quietest: 2010-W26 (0 active)

Synthesis

(historical period — no Claude narration run)

Decompose